What happened to the NDP?
Our Craft Politics interview with Cheryl Oates
In this episode of Craft Politics, Andrew Percy and I explore the state of the Canadian federal election and the absolute collapse of NDP support. With election day fast approaching, we also unpack a week that included a “scandal”, sharp campaign “pivots”, and high-stakes media appearances from the frontrunners.
We’re joined by Cheryl Oates—former communications director to Alberta Premier Rachel Notley and current co-host of The Discourse—for an insider’s view on the progressive vote, Jagmeet Singh’s challenges, and why the NDP may still outperform expectations.
You can find us on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple Podcasts.
In this episode:
ButtonGate: The saga of faux-Trumpian buttons at a Conservative event—planted by Liberal staffers. Why the story briefly dominated headlines, and why it likely won’t move votes.
The Carney vs. Poilievre contrast: A tale of two media appearances—one relaxed and polished in French, the other defensive and academic. Plus, how a revealing podcast moment may have humanized Pierre Poilievre for many.
Debates Matter Again? For once, the leaders’ debates may shape the race. Cheryl Oates makes the case for why Singh’s best shot at a breakout moment is coming soon.
NDP Collapse—or Concentrated Defense? Why the party’s focus on holding incumbents and targeting swing ridings might keep it viable—despite the bleak national numbers.
Western Canada’s Volatility: From Alberta’s quiet realignment to the long shadow of Preston Manning’s separatist musings, the West remains politically combustible.
Geopolitics on Fire: The UK Parliament is recalled for emergency legislation to preserve British steel—an anti-China move with deep implications. And in the U.S., a leaked Trump memo proposes slashing State Department funding, including for NATO.
Notable Quote:
“People aren’t voting for the Liberals—they’re voting against Poilievre. That doesn’t mean they’re excited about it.” – Cheryl Oates